Wednesday, October 7, 2009
This is probably the best collection of Spartan and Sprint footage on the internet today. If you can find anything new, please help me. What an incredible ABM system, it is really sad that we did not maintain it. Many make the weak argument that ABMs cause instability by breaking down what they see as a stable MAD condition. From my perspective, I think we could share our technology with Russia and Europe. The only real use for ABMs on any reasonable scale would be to protect from accidental launches or limited attacks. Surrounding India and Pakistan for example, or Iran and North Korea.
The hit to kill strategy of modern ABMS (which I think are going to be cancelled under Obama) is a fascinating challenge, and certainly possible (since we landed men on the moon in 1969), but really rather unnecessary. Destroying IRVs with a warhead is by far the most reliable method, it is simple, and it is bound to get all IRVs and decoys in one shot. Why, in the early 80s, did the SDI program (star wars) not instantly move towards a national Spartan and Sprint system? They chose the most expensive, elaborate, and ultimately unrealistic plans.
The conspiracy nut in me wants to think that perhaps, just perhaps, defense contractors want the most expensive and long lasting programs possible. Because it keeps them in work for longer. For the modern ABM plans, I suspect it was more about the public’s (rather irrational) fear of using nuclear weapons to protect people. That is why hit to kill was used. But it is much harder to hit a single target with hit to kill, let alone a MIRVed ICBM with decoys. Not impossible, just very hard.