Thursday, February 10, 2011
Published in Current Affairs Bulletin, Vol. 59, No. 7, December 1982, pp. 14-26.
by Brian Martin
This is one of many articles and books on the topic of nuclear warfare and what comes after. There are nearly as many scenarios as there are theorists. It is worth considering all sides of this hypothetical argument, if only because there is a small but real chance that we will still encounter a nuclear exchange in the future. The nuclear winter scenarios of Carl Sagan may be unlikely in a limited (e.g. India vs Pakistan exchange) war, but the overly optimistic predictions of 1950s American politicians are also unlikely to be true. The fact is, nuclear war scenarios are massively complex. An understanding of both the worst and best possible outcomes is needed so that a holistic model can be created.